It is called Swingometer and can be downloaded here. Personally, I’d ignore the others now, because this one is more fun, simpler, and enables you to keep an eye on particular seats as the election unfolds. The basic principle is explained in the sheet. Effectively, I am happy (see earlier geek posts) with the idea [...]
Posts Tagged ‘Swingometer’
5 May
Vital geeky question: the manner of the Labour vote collapse
Westminster Blog calls it Wonk Wars. Fair enough: this is wonky. But I think it matters. Nate Silver has shaken up psephology in the UK by proposing a different approach to uniform swing and instead going for ‘proportional swing’. By this I mean: instead of, say, taking 5% off every Labour vote share in the [...]
4 May
Minor update to swingometer & some thoughts on tactical voting in 1997
I’m no longer doing the regional swingometer: I trust people to agree with me that tactical voting is more interesting. I have updated the tactical one so that you can look up current seats by who won the election last (MP’s name). In the meantime, I have done a little research into how the Tactical [...]
30 Apr
Tactical Voting swingometer updated
You can see it on the right, or download it here. Added features – look up a particular constituency and see how it does under your scenario. For interest, compare the two Tory majority scenarios I have put in. One has them just squeaking home on 40% of the vote; the other sees them disposing [...]
29 Apr
Regional Swingometer introduced
It is a beta version (and forever will be). The idea here is that you can enter you own Labour to Conservative and Labour to LibDem swings by region, which means 11 * 2 different numbers. When you find one that is interesting, you can save it as a scenario. Then you can look at [...]
28 Apr
Swingometer updated again
If you like mucking around with seat possibilities, the spreadsheet is here, with an extra Bell and Whistle. The idea behind it is that clearly a uniform swing doesn’t work now but two uniform swings (Labour – Con, Labour-Libdem) also fail to capture the possibility of some tactical voting So in my machine, you can [...]
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